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and he would be waltzing to, you know, a piece of cake re-election. so i do think -- and there's, actually, a third problem should be mentioned. peter orszag, the former head of the budget bureau, wrote an op-ed in "the new york times" saying, basically, contra my own instincts the problem with the united states is that there's too much democracy. we can't get anything done if we actually try to do it through elections and democratic procedures. what we need are ever more expert commissions that will make decisions for us. now, maybe that's true. but it should be recognized that if that is the solution to our problems, then we should stop prattling to other countries around the world that what they need is more democracy. because, in fact, we would have come to the conclusion that democracy doesn't really work. >> sandy, i really welcome this. i think my understanding is that the time of the federalist papers in our constitution in 1787 and so forth grew out of a lot of study of constitutions across time and across countries and so forth. and so that
and he would be waltzing to, you know, a piece of cake re-election. so i do think -- and there's, actually, a third problem should be mentioned. peter orszag, the former head of the budget bureau, wrote an op-ed in "the new york times" saying, basically, contra my own instincts the problem with the united states is that there's too much democracy. we can't get anything done if we actually try to do it through elections and democratic procedures. what we need are ever more expert...
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Oct 8, 2012
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or series of elections. that is not generally the way the united states operates. courtesy of the constitution drafted in 1787 and what i want to insist relatively unamended thereafter with regard to the basic structures that we live under. the republican presidents since president johnson -- that is, nixon, ford, reagan, george h.w. bush -- not for a single day had even a single house of the congress from their own political party. i'm sorry, ronald reagan did have the senate for a couple or maybe even four years, but he never had a full congress. that was republican. bill clinton did have a full congress that was republican, but, of course, bill clinton was a democrat. and so you had fragmented government. george w. bush had a republican congress for a total of a bit more than four of his eight years, though bush scarcely has the list of legislative accomplishments that could rival lynn congress done johnsons -- lyndon johnson's or, to be fair, richard nixon's. perhaps the 2012 election will generate a uni
or series of elections. that is not generally the way the united states operates. courtesy of the constitution drafted in 1787 and what i want to insist relatively unamended thereafter with regard to the basic structures that we live under. the republican presidents since president johnson -- that is, nixon, ford, reagan, george h.w. bush -- not for a single day had even a single house of the congress from their own political party. i'm sorry, ronald reagan did have the senate for a couple or...
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Oct 4, 2012
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cover an election? it's a really good question, and i'm sure the session will spark good conversations, and i hope it will give us some good ideas as well. this looks like a fascinating program, and we're very, very proud to host it. thank you very much and welcome. [applause] >> thank you very much. and now i'd like to hand the floor over to jim corpsville of stony brook university who will lead our plenary panel asking, is this any way to cover an election? >> thank you, a.j., and good morning to everybody. we have a very distinguished and knowledgeable panel to talk about this topic, the timing, obviously, couldn't be better, debates wednesday night. let me introduce the people on the panel. to my immediate right is michael howe who's the technical cofounder of the fourth of state project as well as the architect of the platform that runs both enterprises. the project focuses on driving media coverage of the election 2012. and i think he'll have a very interesting powerpoint presentation to make to u
cover an election? it's a really good question, and i'm sure the session will spark good conversations, and i hope it will give us some good ideas as well. this looks like a fascinating program, and we're very, very proud to host it. thank you very much and welcome. [applause] >> thank you very much. and now i'd like to hand the floor over to jim corpsville of stony brook university who will lead our plenary panel asking, is this any way to cover an election? >> thank you, a.j., and...
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Oct 6, 2012
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there's no way america would elect a prime african-american you can't get elected with the name barack obama. it's actually didn't matter. i didn't know anybody in chicago. i didn't know anybody around the candidate. so it didn't look like anything was going to be happening. december 26, december 26, 2006 my wife and i were shopping day after christmas we were shopping in a borns and noble just up the road in california. my phone goes off. this is right out of west wing. it's like, my tornado watch. it's somebody calling to find out if i'm interesting in working with the barack obama campaign. and so, of course, i was. i was quickly connected with a guy named steve held brand who became the deputy campaign manager. he was assessing staff. i thought i was apply forking the job for national campaign manager. it's voter exact. i thought i got to put it on the table i'm perfect for the job. i said, steve never indicated back that i was being considered for national campaign directer. but i put it out there. i said, steve, here's the thing, we can take, you know, we can make it so that peop
there's no way america would elect a prime african-american you can't get elected with the name barack obama. it's actually didn't matter. i didn't know anybody in chicago. i didn't know anybody around the candidate. so it didn't look like anything was going to be happening. december 26, december 26, 2006 my wife and i were shopping day after christmas we were shopping in a borns and noble just up the road in california. my phone goes off. this is right out of west wing. it's like, my tornado...
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Oct 9, 2012
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in november of 1948 come dewey lost the election and when tom dewey lost the election in 1948, eisenhower had bigger fish to fry. because the republican nomination in 1952 is going to be open at that point and he had lost interest a little bit at columbia and went to nato to defend that nato's forces and so forth but he did an outstanding job at columbia and he would have gone on to do an outstanding job except he had a higher calling. >> david as i recall rather early in your book you say that you saw ike's reputation editing someone. do you still feel that way? >> well live look, in fact the connection with grants to me is very interesting. i think we look back nostalgically on world war ii in this great unqualified success and so i think the one thing we have not recognized both i believe in voters and the electorate in the 1950's did recognize is that we were really undergoing a post-war reconstruction period and the 1940s and 1950's so the parallel between eisenhower and grant, lincoln and roosevelt is a very compelling one and i think another reason that people have not focused on t
in november of 1948 come dewey lost the election and when tom dewey lost the election in 1948, eisenhower had bigger fish to fry. because the republican nomination in 1952 is going to be open at that point and he had lost interest a little bit at columbia and went to nato to defend that nato's forces and so forth but he did an outstanding job at columbia and he would have gone on to do an outstanding job except he had a higher calling. >> david as i recall rather early in your book you...
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Oct 6, 2012
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in his early senate career his campaign literature shows mitchell on election night in 1982 the first year that he actually ran for the seat appointed for it was a tough campaign and he came out on top and send letters from strong thurmond who at the time was the secretary and the senate congratulate senator mitchell on his selection of what was his first election. we continue to get materials from his office in the law firm in new york city, and it's still getting awards and generating material for his career and so they come to rest over time. in 1990 having just been elected the senate majority leader, mitchell was involved in the 1990 amendments to the act and this is a letter from george h. w. bush thanking him for his collaboration and succeeding in getting that legislation passed. the 1990 amendment was important for us today. we paid $4 a gallon for gas in the sense that it was the amendment that discussed the composition of gas and the introduction of chemicals during certain seasons of the year in order to make for cleaner air. in a sample of his writing style. there are res
in his early senate career his campaign literature shows mitchell on election night in 1982 the first year that he actually ran for the seat appointed for it was a tough campaign and he came out on top and send letters from strong thurmond who at the time was the secretary and the senate congratulate senator mitchell on his selection of what was his first election. we continue to get materials from his office in the law firm in new york city, and it's still getting awards and generating...
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Oct 8, 2012
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we were elected to change history. the reason why he spent his first two years pursuing obamacare he could not figure out how to do more on the economy but would risk the election to do something permanent to expand state and realize more of liberalism was kohl's. to that extent he is doing with the marxist call heightening the contradiction. in a certain way bidding for the crisis to come and excel rate. i thain because he will find a way to compromise and his second term. but the game he is playing in its ideological them that. he would not reject the chance to have a fiscal crisis in which you have stark alternatives. taxes must go up with the future promises made zero or we must fundamentally trim the welfare state. that is the opportunity to sweeten the economy to move from 19 or 25% of gdp every year that would have a transforming effect on the american character. >> what happens then if he is defeated? >> if is followed by conservatives. it is not impossible that romney could win to bring in the republican senat
we were elected to change history. the reason why he spent his first two years pursuing obamacare he could not figure out how to do more on the economy but would risk the election to do something permanent to expand state and realize more of liberalism was kohl's. to that extent he is doing with the marxist call heightening the contradiction. in a certain way bidding for the crisis to come and excel rate. i thain because he will find a way to compromise and his second term. but the game he is...
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Oct 8, 2012
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in november of 1948 come dewey lost the election and when tom dewey lost the election in 1948, eisenhower had bigger fish to fry. because the republican nomination in 1952 is going to be open at that point and he had lost interest a little bit at columbia and went to nato to defend that nato's forces and so forth but he did an outstanding job at columbia and he would have gone on to do an outstanding job except he had a higher calling. >> david as i recall rather early in your book you say that you saw ike's reputation editing someone. do you still feel that way? >> well live look, in fact the connection with grants to me is very interesting. i think we look back nostalgically on world war ii in this great unqualified success and so i think the one thing we have not recognized both i believe in voters and the electorate in the 1950's did recognize is that we were really undergoing a post-war reconstruction period and the 1940s and 1950's so the parallel between eisenhower and grant, lincoln and roosevelt is a very compelling one and i think another reason that people have not focused on t
in november of 1948 come dewey lost the election and when tom dewey lost the election in 1948, eisenhower had bigger fish to fry. because the republican nomination in 1952 is going to be open at that point and he had lost interest a little bit at columbia and went to nato to defend that nato's forces and so forth but he did an outstanding job at columbia and he would have gone on to do an outstanding job except he had a higher calling. >> david as i recall rather early in your book you...
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here we are approaching election. which pretended to be a water shed, recognized by both political parties as turning point. a change debate about the role of government, free market to the future trajectory of our nation. in that debate, campaign commercials and political rhetoric abound. sound bytes, daily reactions dominate the news cycle. luckily for us in the miss -- mist of this a serious thinker wrote a serious book. having been discovered by william f. buckley and grown up writing and reading for national review and overcome the education at harvard university and the upbringing in west virginia, he it a touring figure of the conservative movement. rightly sew. a professor of government the the clare month college. he's the coed or it with william f. buckley of keeping the tablet of modern american conservative thought. he is written extensively on american constitutionalism and political ideas. indeed the addition nat federalist paper the one published -- is the best selling edition in the united states. he c
here we are approaching election. which pretended to be a water shed, recognized by both political parties as turning point. a change debate about the role of government, free market to the future trajectory of our nation. in that debate, campaign commercials and political rhetoric abound. sound bytes, daily reactions dominate the news cycle. luckily for us in the miss -- mist of this a serious thinker wrote a serious book. having been discovered by william f. buckley and grown up writing and...
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Oct 6, 2012
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to election. people say they will vote more democrat or republican. it varies in a particular poll that dick morris was referring to. we had 2% more in ohio democratic but at the same time we asked 1% more republican and 1% more in florida. he picked that one to take a pot shots at. more recent poll had more republicans than in 2008. the long and short is there is no standard party id. comparison to 2008 is itself a comparison to the exit polls and party id does vary from election to election. if you use 2004 you would be surprised to find more democratic, we are finding it a little less democratic than in 2008. we had a group over the weekend last weekend -- and a lot of questions about jobs and the economy and values in society and one person asked about this party id controversy that exists and this is sort of a very -- not quite in the beltway but more predominant. >> it is an argument that both sides make depending upon who doesn't like the result of the polls. we did see democrats make a sim
to election. people say they will vote more democrat or republican. it varies in a particular poll that dick morris was referring to. we had 2% more in ohio democratic but at the same time we asked 1% more republican and 1% more in florida. he picked that one to take a pot shots at. more recent poll had more republicans than in 2008. the long and short is there is no standard party id. comparison to 2008 is itself a comparison to the exit polls and party id does vary from election to election....
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Oct 10, 2012
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any elected official u.s. cotillion that the new that is what because it allows them to stand strong and to be sure that they're representing the interests of the people that were present. social direction good connection to officials of could. [applause] >> my name is catherine mcgovern. in 1969 and graduated from georgetown university law center i feel a certain akin to you. however, most people in this room will not remember that in 1969 but didn't have any right to have contraception. that was the beginning of the women's rights movement. and was one of the ones who worked for a very hard. i am so happy to see that you are continuing the tradition of georgetown university law center. thank you. [applause] >> thank you for saying so, and thank you for all the work you did at that time because i have that many of the young women in this room along with me recognize how lucky we are for the ways in which our foremothers place these paths for us. i would like to -- i would like to make a request of the women o
any elected official u.s. cotillion that the new that is what because it allows them to stand strong and to be sure that they're representing the interests of the people that were present. social direction good connection to officials of could. [applause] >> my name is catherine mcgovern. in 1969 and graduated from georgetown university law center i feel a certain akin to you. however, most people in this room will not remember that in 1969 but didn't have any right to have contraception....
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have a great night. >>> with just 29 days until the election, mitt romney is running as fast as he can away from mitt romney. >> mitt romney is trying to turn the momentum from his debate performance. >> polls show mitt romney got a bounce. >> new polls. >> into a political tidal wave on the campaign trail. >> mitt romney will say absolutely anything to get elected. >> at the debate he said he's not going to cut taxes for the wealthy. in the primary he said he's going to cut taxes for everyone. >> i'm going to lower rates across the board for all americans. isn't that a change? >> let me repeat what i said. >> lying, denying and alibiing. >> is that leadership? >> we can't debate the debate. >> the war continues. >> let's move on. >> we are awaiting a major foreign policy address. >> romney boiled down the president's foreign policy to one of hope. >> hope is not a strategy. >> but on actual foreign policy romney's specifics were rather thin. >> i'll support the libyan's people efforts to support a lasting government. >> how about iran? >> prevent them from acquiring nuclear weapons ca
have a great night. >>> with just 29 days until the election, mitt romney is running as fast as he can away from mitt romney. >> mitt romney is trying to turn the momentum from his debate performance. >> polls show mitt romney got a bounce. >> new polls. >> into a political tidal wave on the campaign trail. >> mitt romney will say absolutely anything to get elected. >> at the debate he said he's not going to cut taxes for the wealthy. in the primary...
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Oct 7, 2012
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you go to the board of elections a month after the election, they've updated the voter file. it's yes or no, they voted. persuasion, to see if they change their mind, have to rely on them being honest, their self-reported other choices. so, and the other reason a lot of the people who start doing this work in academia were using basically nonprofit dollars through the institutions and couldn't do partisan work which made it very difficult to do. persuasion in the campaign, but if you're doing non-candidate specific test you can spend university dollars out of your research budget on a. there's a big body of work on the science, and a lot of it is informed by the behavioral psychology. there's far less sort of i think new science of persuasion. one thing i've written about the issues how the obama campaign is trying to adopt these as primitive methods to measure the effect of their mail and the online ads and tv ads and just as propublica, more expensive. but if you would tried to break out of relying solely on focus groups that try to ask voters to imagine any sort of artific
you go to the board of elections a month after the election, they've updated the voter file. it's yes or no, they voted. persuasion, to see if they change their mind, have to rely on them being honest, their self-reported other choices. so, and the other reason a lot of the people who start doing this work in academia were using basically nonprofit dollars through the institutions and couldn't do partisan work which made it very difficult to do. persuasion in the campaign, but if you're doing...
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Oct 7, 2012
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you can see him in the 2010 election. christine o'donnell is in delaware who taught about dabbling in witchcraft. he did not like that and he came down on her. likewise go with todd akin cud the tea party candidate in missouri who talked about legitimate. rove did not like that. if you look at the finances they are coming you can see subbase power. it can do is $28 billion. subbase american crossroads put $15 million of that senate case. he pulled it out and now very strongly he's hanging in there. but in return, rove, and assert a surprise last last week he said if a given set ordered, dilkon looking for me. >> why did michael steele got fired? >> well -- the question was why was michael steele pushed out of the republican party? the answer is he couldn't raise any money at all. in terms of style, he was trying to make it sort of a hip-hop party and that didn't work with country club republicans were the tea party for that matter. it was really a funny question. was he trying to go up against obama? he would not bring af
you can see him in the 2010 election. christine o'donnell is in delaware who taught about dabbling in witchcraft. he did not like that and he came down on her. likewise go with todd akin cud the tea party candidate in missouri who talked about legitimate. rove did not like that. if you look at the finances they are coming you can see subbase power. it can do is $28 billion. subbase american crossroads put $15 million of that senate case. he pulled it out and now very strongly he's hanging in...
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Oct 3, 2012
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if you elect obama. i happen to believe that star and that's why i'm not for reelection president obama but is not a very inspiring forward-looking spoken about what mid-romney will do. it's hard to blame the guy who wants to get reelected with a pretty narrow cast, casting approach to democratic and independent constituencies to try to scare them about ron is just bush, there is a war on women and all that but i don't go get the kind of frame you would like. i'm a little is pessimistic. i do think reality matters, as we've been saying. we are going to hit the cliff in all kinds of ways. be any fiscal cliff in the real clip in 2013 is you can't sustain these deficits obviously for too long because they can't keep printing money and expect the world to take it or buy treasury notes forever. the economy is slow and they will be coming into another dip. they are foreign policy challenges i think the next president will have a moment between november 7, i agree just to begin november 7, on january 20. and i
if you elect obama. i happen to believe that star and that's why i'm not for reelection president obama but is not a very inspiring forward-looking spoken about what mid-romney will do. it's hard to blame the guy who wants to get reelected with a pretty narrow cast, casting approach to democratic and independent constituencies to try to scare them about ron is just bush, there is a war on women and all that but i don't go get the kind of frame you would like. i'm a little is pessimistic. i do...
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Oct 2, 2012
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our elections are being sold to the highest bidder. that is not what our democracy should be about. >> senator kerrey? question? >> the focus is on campaign finance reform. all right. >>when i say i am going to fight to change congress, i need it i have a 45-word amendment to the constitution that i think would make those proud. it says that congress must organize itself in a non- partisan fashion. you can have no more than 12 consecutive years of service. you have to place limitations of what you can spend in campaigns. the questioner is right. even if it is not reality, the perception is that politics has been corrupted by money. i remember running in 1982. the constitution says if you are 30 years old and a citizen you can run. but the reality is if you can't raise $7 million or $8 million, you are not qualified. there is no question is his corrupting our political process and decision-making. we have to change the constitution to give congress the authority to actually limit what can be spent in campaigns. >> thank you. senator? >>
our elections are being sold to the highest bidder. that is not what our democracy should be about. >> senator kerrey? question? >> the focus is on campaign finance reform. all right. >>when i say i am going to fight to change congress, i need it i have a 45-word amendment to the constitution that i think would make those proud. it says that congress must organize itself in a non- partisan fashion. you can have no more than 12 consecutive years of service. you have to place...
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Oct 4, 2012
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to election. >>host: abby kiesa look at the numbers the percentage that consider themselves to be highly engaged broken-down bite eight -- by age, 75% and is down 14. what the you attribute the drop? >> there are some things. there may be some disappointment and the president. this summer poll indicated 40% described the feelings about the president as disappointed. but it could be people in gauged newly for the first time. >>host: if you are a boater between the ages of 18 and 29 joined the conversation. we are talking with abby kiesa at the center for information and research known as circle at tufts university 81 we looking solely at young people social political engagement and we do research to help strengthen engagement efforts to involve young people. >>host: how does social media come into play campaign 2012? as a barometer and to change opinion? >> both campaigns and engage in social media there is a great number of organizations trying to and engage people. with respect to elections a lot
to election. >>host: abby kiesa look at the numbers the percentage that consider themselves to be highly engaged broken-down bite eight -- by age, 75% and is down 14. what the you attribute the drop? >> there are some things. there may be some disappointment and the president. this summer poll indicated 40% described the feelings about the president as disappointed. but it could be people in gauged newly for the first time. >>host: if you are a boater between the ages of 18...
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Oct 5, 2012
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what about the city's rights to elect their own elected officials? and help do they own? when you say government interference, i understand you were talking about the federal government, but i heard mitt romney say that states' rights, is it the rights of the state's coming into the cities to overthrow the local municipalities? if that's a big government, small government, i don't know, is it controlled government? i think they have a right to control their own destiny in their own city. so the public is on the ballot in november, and i am turning everybody in michigan to vote down. we don't need dictatorship. it is a dictated view. >> host: thanks so much on the mall of the government in relation to the city and its relationship with federal government. and detroit. swb writes the government should do its job and maintain the general welfare. from debate news the numbers are in on how many people watched on television. more than 600 million watched the debate in this election cycle nearly 15 million were going to watch the first presidential debate four years ago. about
what about the city's rights to elect their own elected officials? and help do they own? when you say government interference, i understand you were talking about the federal government, but i heard mitt romney say that states' rights, is it the rights of the state's coming into the cities to overthrow the local municipalities? if that's a big government, small government, i don't know, is it controlled government? i think they have a right to control their own destiny in their own city. so the...
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now, if you -- what would happen if there is an election? obviously, let's say we'll make a difference between romney and obama on this. i'd make two points. bill made a very good point early on howl democrats and -- how democrats and republicans are operating after two very different paradigms about the relationship with arab and muslim countries. and you can see it in public opinion polls. the constituent is says having -- they do see it more as a clash of civilization than as clash of conflict. it is pervasive, you find it in almost every issue, including the arab/israeli issue, by the way. so there is a philosophical difference in the constituencies. second, i don't know what romney, you know, has in mind. we don't know exactly what kind of foreign policy we'd have, but the people who are around him are more or less many of the same people who were around bush before, so i suspect we would expect something more along that line. >> okay. what i'm going to do because time is short is take several questions and then come back to the panel.
now, if you -- what would happen if there is an election? obviously, let's say we'll make a difference between romney and obama on this. i'd make two points. bill made a very good point early on howl democrats and -- how democrats and republicans are operating after two very different paradigms about the relationship with arab and muslim countries. and you can see it in public opinion polls. the constituent is says having -- they do see it more as a clash of civilization than as clash of...
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Oct 4, 2012
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we're focused on the presidential election and goal to beat president obama and elect a new president. we are heavily invested in the senate and house race. thing a way about the -- [inaudible] i don't think priority u.s.a. for example -- restore future exclusively dedicated. we're focused on all of the senate races or where you're going do see a lot more of the advertising early your on in the senate races, the bigger the office, the more people pay attention. the we'll be engaged in a number of house races probably a little bit later as we get closer. >> yeah. that's the other thing. the cross roads place outside role in the senate races and don't think that the two are not entwined. i'm not suggesting anything knee fair use. let's say there was president issue advertising. the republican side, the crossroads and other outspending on the senate roadways and house races. and those all have an impact. it's the environment how do people feel when there's million of dollar of ad spending in state of montana, for example within out senate race, it affects the house race and other races b
we're focused on the presidential election and goal to beat president obama and elect a new president. we are heavily invested in the senate and house race. thing a way about the -- [inaudible] i don't think priority u.s.a. for example -- restore future exclusively dedicated. we're focused on all of the senate races or where you're going do see a lot more of the advertising early your on in the senate races, the bigger the office, the more people pay attention. the we'll be engaged in a number...
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Oct 4, 2012
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it's not the way to win elections. i am positive that johnson doesn't spend time thing about how they can suppress voters. we certainly don't, it just isn't worth it frankly, but that solution, the solution of the id is absolutely the wrong one. >> i'd like to thank you all for coming here. i know you have a busy schedule. i'd like to redo a quote from eric schultz on this issue. he said in the aftermath of the citizens united decision in unprecedented amounts of campaign spending, often by groups that won't disclose their donors. so my question is, how important is anonymity? because it seems to me like if your argument is money is free speech, then we should hold people accountable for what they say. if the ceo of pepsi were to give $1 million to mitt romney tomorrow, i wouldn't buy pepsi for the rest of the year. so how are you going to hold it accountable? >> just one year? [laughter] >> he's not that committed. you've got to work on it. >> other pepsi products might be okay. just pepsi itself. >> not in new york c
it's not the way to win elections. i am positive that johnson doesn't spend time thing about how they can suppress voters. we certainly don't, it just isn't worth it frankly, but that solution, the solution of the id is absolutely the wrong one. >> i'd like to thank you all for coming here. i know you have a busy schedule. i'd like to redo a quote from eric schultz on this issue. he said in the aftermath of the citizens united decision in unprecedented amounts of campaign spending, often...
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Oct 8, 2012
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monitoring the election. if there are any irregularities, business, front you can bet that this would go to court. we can only a few thousand votes away from john kerry challenging him on election results, and the could have watched the same process. the dean of american global scientists as we of the sloppy a selection systems of any industrialized democracy. that was true then minister now. we still have time to take remedial steps will the election to minimize the sloppiness, incompetents, and from. from has distorted history in american life. it just like to be decent and animals college students. and live in new jersey, one of the most corrupt political machines ever. the men there for 40 years. what it @booktv? because of its wooden ones. in 1935 be honest about association, the do that is another day some 245 princeton, students to one of the election. the beat of five of them within the or the arrival. several others went to the mayor's office to protest. will you fellows go back, but if he ever get k
monitoring the election. if there are any irregularities, business, front you can bet that this would go to court. we can only a few thousand votes away from john kerry challenging him on election results, and the could have watched the same process. the dean of american global scientists as we of the sloppy a selection systems of any industrialized democracy. that was true then minister now. we still have time to take remedial steps will the election to minimize the sloppiness, incompetents,...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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he said candidates don't lose election. they run out of money and can't get the airplanes off the ground. that's a good description. probably the reason dukakis was a democratic nominee was because all the other guys ran out of money. this is limited of course to presidential politics. shouldn't just limited to presidential politics. was competition effective in congressional races? were the more competitive candidates as a result of actually the massive flow of money both large money in come in fact small contribution, where more candidates able to reach a threshold of competitiveness which is how political scientists think of money and politics. it's not like playing the card game of work we have a higher number, you and it actually a pretty subtle thing to get reached a threshold where you can be heard and at a certain point extra money isn't doing you any good. so the real question, probably last year the average non-income would win in a congressional race raised 1.5 million, people who either want an open seat or defe
he said candidates don't lose election. they run out of money and can't get the airplanes off the ground. that's a good description. probably the reason dukakis was a democratic nominee was because all the other guys ran out of money. this is limited of course to presidential politics. shouldn't just limited to presidential politics. was competition effective in congressional races? were the more competitive candidates as a result of actually the massive flow of money both large money in come...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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you might not know this but was won that election. [laughter] in the electoral college, kind of the cool thing in the constitution. but anyhow, so it years later what was essentially a popular vote tie becomes a seven-point blowout in that shows you how significantly america is changing. you know, fred talked about how hard it is for democrat a democrat to win with a seven-point margin. republicans can't. it's just impossible. for mitt romney to win the popular vote is going to be by a point or two. what that says is you know, if we don't as a party, republicans don't figure out how to do much better with minority voters particularly latinos -- look, african-americans is going to be hard to expect more than 5%f the vote for a while given that the current president is lack. so they are going to vote for him and his party. that is certainly understandable. republicans have to do significantly better than we are doing right now into the future. we have to do significantly better with latino voters. >> i think it's fair to say that the re
you might not know this but was won that election. [laughter] in the electoral college, kind of the cool thing in the constitution. but anyhow, so it years later what was essentially a popular vote tie becomes a seven-point blowout in that shows you how significantly america is changing. you know, fred talked about how hard it is for democrat a democrat to win with a seven-point margin. republicans can't. it's just impossible. for mitt romney to win the popular vote is going to be by a point or...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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[cheering and applause] and that is the difference in this election. [applause] you know what i know what everybody says when president obama said i should be secretary of explaining stuff -- [applause] a., i was flattered. but the problem is, you know, at my age and hillary clinton having a traveling job and all, i'm -- [cheering and applause] i'm hope alone a lot. i have time to figure out stuff. i had a different reaction to the debate than a lot of people did. i thought -- wow. here's moderate mitt, where have you been, i missed you the last few years. [applause] but i was paying attention the last two years. and it was like one of these bain capital deals, he's the closer, he shows up and doesn't know about the deal. tell me what i'm supposed to say to close. the problem with the deal is the deal was made by severe conservative men. that was how he described himself for two whole years until throw or four days before the debate they said this ship is sinking faster than the titanic -- [applause] people are frustrated by the economy. they want to f
[cheering and applause] and that is the difference in this election. [applause] you know what i know what everybody says when president obama said i should be secretary of explaining stuff -- [applause] a., i was flattered. but the problem is, you know, at my age and hillary clinton having a traveling job and all, i'm -- [cheering and applause] i'm hope alone a lot. i have time to figure out stuff. i had a different reaction to the debate than a lot of people did. i thought -- wow. here's...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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so this is the choice we face in this election. this is what the election comes down to. and you are going to hear over the next two months, i know you must be tired of hearing these ads -- but you are going to hear more over the next six weeks or it and over and over again, you're going to hear my opponent talk about bigger tax cuts, fewer regulations, that's the way to go, and since government can't do everything, it should do almost nothing. if you can't afford health care, then hope you don't get that. if you can afford college, borrow money from your parents you know what? that's not who we are. i don't think the government can solve all of our problems. but the government is not the source of our problems either. there are some things we have to do together. instead of going around and blaming somebody, unions or immigrants, gays or somebody for what is going on, this is what we need to pull together. we are in this together. we believe that america only works when we accept responsibility for ourselves and for each other. that is how we create more opportunity, mor
so this is the choice we face in this election. this is what the election comes down to. and you are going to hear over the next two months, i know you must be tired of hearing these ads -- but you are going to hear more over the next six weeks or it and over and over again, you're going to hear my opponent talk about bigger tax cuts, fewer regulations, that's the way to go, and since government can't do everything, it should do almost nothing. if you can't afford health care, then hope you...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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our elections are being sold to the highest bidder. that is not what our alexians should be about. >> -- that is not what our elections should be about. >> when i say i will fight to change congress, i mean it. i have an amendment to our constitution that i think would make people proud. it says congress must organize itself in a non-partisan fashion. it's y c have no more than 12 years of consecutive service, and says congress has the authority to ban all outside money. the question is right. even if it inoteality, the perception is politics have been corrupted by money. i am a -- nobody thought at you were correct as a consequence of what it took in 1992. constituti ss if you're 30 yearsou cun, but if you did not have the money you cannot run. is corruptg our decision making, and we got to change our nstituon to limit wh can be spent in caaigns. >> i am proud of the facthat on our last campaign finance report about the mustard in over 70% of my contributions came from nebraska is cents. with mr. kerrey, his contributions came from ou
our elections are being sold to the highest bidder. that is not what our alexians should be about. >> -- that is not what our elections should be about. >> when i say i will fight to change congress, i mean it. i have an amendment to our constitution that i think would make people proud. it says congress must organize itself in a non-partisan fashion. it's y c have no more than 12 years of consecutive service, and says congress has the authority to ban all outside money. the...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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we didn't need an election to win. we had a moment at pauley pavilion and oprah came out and michelle came out and maria shriver came out. there was this running narrative at the time. you always had these pictures -- i remember one example of this. this foreign trip we had. we had him meeting he was meeting with heads of state and kings and did this rally with 250,000 people in berlin. and you know, these pictures at home with john mccain, he was going through a grocery store. somebody was throwing something in his cart. we were in germany with this big crowd. he was going into a german restaurant quietly for launch. it -- lunch. he was, that first day on the trip sinks a three-point shot in front of the troops. john mccain motoring with george w. bush at a maine country club in a golf cart. these kinds of pictures i think started from these two people who really understood language and the narrative, you could see these happening all the time throughout the campaign. i think it really helps form, pictures, images for
we didn't need an election to win. we had a moment at pauley pavilion and oprah came out and michelle came out and maria shriver came out. there was this running narrative at the time. you always had these pictures -- i remember one example of this. this foreign trip we had. we had him meeting he was meeting with heads of state and kings and did this rally with 250,000 people in berlin. and you know, these pictures at home with john mccain, he was going through a grocery store. somebody was...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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until the next election cycle. until the next election cycle. when i talk about each side, in this case, i mean the press and the candidates, even though that is not the most natural way to talk about an election. you think of the two sides in the election being the candidates, and yet, that is not the full story of an election, and on the other hand, just to go back for a second, i do think the press, in taking on the candidates, can call the right and wrong and the correct and the incorrect, and i hope there is a lot more of that, and i am probably running out of time. i will say that on the optimism front, can anyone imagine during the kennedy-nixon debates that we would all be watching it with twitter, that there would be fact checking, that there would be conversations going on? hearing him on the radio, he sounds a lot better. or anything like that. i think this is a great time for political coverage, and i hope that that turns out to be true in the next few weeks and that we do not instead see some degraded
until the next election cycle. until the next election cycle. when i talk about each side, in this case, i mean the press and the candidates, even though that is not the most natural way to talk about an election. you think of the two sides in the election being the candidates, and yet, that is not the full story of an election, and on the other hand, just to go back for a second, i do think the press, in taking on the candidates, can call the right and wrong and the correct and the incorrect,...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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any elected official will tell you that they pray that as well. it allows them to stand strong and to be sure that they're representing interests. [applause] >> my name is catherine mcgovern . 1969 and graduated from georgetown university law center . most people will not remember that in 1969 we did not have any right to have contraception. that was the beginning of the women's rights movement. i was one of the once you work for it very hard. i am so happy to see that you are continuing the tradition of georgetown university law center. thank you. [applause] >> thank you very much for saying so. thank you for all the work you did. i hope that many of the young women in this form along with me recognize how lucky we are for the ways in which our mother's race to these. but i would like to -- have back i would like to make their request of the women of your generation and the men as well to talk to us, speak to the young people as you know about what the circumstances were before contraception was required to be legalized constitutionally and what
any elected official will tell you that they pray that as well. it allows them to stand strong and to be sure that they're representing interests. [applause] >> my name is catherine mcgovern . 1969 and graduated from georgetown university law center . most people will not remember that in 1969 we did not have any right to have contraception. that was the beginning of the women's rights movement. i was one of the once you work for it very hard. i am so happy to see that you are continuing...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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anthony fund has been instrumental in electing over 100 members of congress. she deserves our nation's gratitude. the youngest of the young can't do it. we must have faith that a god has them in heaven. we can, labeling, thank marjorie dannenfelser. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ '02 know what is supercool is that this is perfect because ann and i are really tight. [laughter] you know marty, my husband said i don't know where you begin and ann ends. you're so the same person. but he said it under his breath. it was maybe it was like endless or maybe chatter was in there. i'm not sure. but ann and i have spent a lot of time trying to figure out what is wrong with you guys and paul ryan how we're really great, how we're kind and good and generous. what is wrong with you people? and it's kind of easy to figure out. we got together last night to talk about this. and first of all we're women. it's easy. we women, we're a part of the sister hood. we get it. we absolutely understand what compassion means. we have the sister hood, all right. we are the femme feminist senior hood
anthony fund has been instrumental in electing over 100 members of congress. she deserves our nation's gratitude. the youngest of the young can't do it. we must have faith that a god has them in heaven. we can, labeling, thank marjorie dannenfelser. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ '02 know what is supercool is that this is perfect because ann and i are really tight. [laughter] you know marty, my husband said i don't know where you begin and ann ends. you're so the same person. but he said it under his...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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election comes from? if we make exceptions, who gets the exceptions are my? than happy to get treatment of all kinds in all places, but this is a place where we've made an exception basically by saying we declare that large corporations, newspapers, magazines, whatever it is to say whatever they want whenever they want because the free press is important. but her for talking about a world where disclosure really has so complete, where's the space or where unpopular political speech? you know, maybe the appropriate entities of the corporation and the citizens united cases about this wacky video made by this wacky group that was really pretty independent collection of people who just wanted to get their ideas out there. so what do we do with adequate we would get back to you, but i think you're going to chime in on the segue. >> i wish is going to say on the former point of the best things for getting action on this scandal. i mean, watergate did the regulatory framework we have the scandals come and the fo
election comes from? if we make exceptions, who gets the exceptions are my? than happy to get treatment of all kinds in all places, but this is a place where we've made an exception basically by saying we declare that large corporations, newspapers, magazines, whatever it is to say whatever they want whenever they want because the free press is important. but her for talking about a world where disclosure really has so complete, where's the space or where unpopular political speech? you know,...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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this is a subset of t outside money we are seeing coming into the elections. and we are seeing much more of this time around, these are the 501(c), especially 501(c)(4) groups that are increasing active in politics an increasingly active on the airwaves. first a word about, the center for responsive politics. what we do it in a summit with us is we slice and dice campaign finance and lobbying information in ways that hopefully make it more accessible and usable and easier to interpret for both journalists and the public. we've been trying to get at this dark money, shadow money this year, and you know, the danger for journalists and for us, for the public is, you know, it's very, very difficult to get at it, take it its donors and exactly what's going on. but if we don't we're only getting part of the story. and probably not that big a part. why don't you go to the first slide? so what these groups are supposed to disclose, like other groups, is the amount of money they spend on independent expenditures, which of those ads that say vote for, vote against some
this is a subset of t outside money we are seeing coming into the elections. and we are seeing much more of this time around, these are the 501(c), especially 501(c)(4) groups that are increasing active in politics an increasingly active on the airwaves. first a word about, the center for responsive politics. what we do it in a summit with us is we slice and dice campaign finance and lobbying information in ways that hopefully make it more accessible and usable and easier to interpret for both...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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i think we'll get past the election. [laughter] and even if we don't get anything done in the lame-duck that we are able to only temporarily kicked the can down the road and only temporarily expand policies that we don't want to take effect. at the same time to play next year put in place greater budget discipline for the future of the commitment to sound vain, elisa framework of the deficit reduction package that has the hope of getting bipartisan support. >> yes, it's pretty easy. so avoid recession, find a way to increase the debt limit so we avoid some of the painful posturing to win on the last time around. and at the end of this it would be nice to come outcome as he talked about what the conception of what our tax cut actually is. they're made me to still be thanks temporary, but have been a sharp line distinguishes those temporary from that which is termed that my would be very helpful for the policy process. >> well, i think the best outcome would be a two-stage process. one set of legislation into february. jan
i think we'll get past the election. [laughter] and even if we don't get anything done in the lame-duck that we are able to only temporarily kicked the can down the road and only temporarily expand policies that we don't want to take effect. at the same time to play next year put in place greater budget discipline for the future of the commitment to sound vain, elisa framework of the deficit reduction package that has the hope of getting bipartisan support. >> yes, it's pretty easy. so...
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here comes the biggest election of this century. suddenly we have an incredible improvement in unemployment, something that takes the calendar back four years. you worked in the bls. you know how this works. can these numbers be manipulated? >> no, they really can't. it would be extremely hard to manipulate the numbers. absolutely impossible to manipulate and get away with. bls is comprised of career people who are dedicated to their work. nothing but career people there. a real strong sense of objectivity in what they do. would just be impossible to work these numbers. interpreting the numbers is a different issue. the unemployment rate really did go down, and it really was from the household survey. i can tell you, when i look at these reports the first in a look at is not the unemployment rate. it's the number of payroll jobs created. in line the last 67 months, and that survey is of very large survey. is surveying not only 400,000 businesses, its really looking at the employment records of 40 million people. so this is very accu
here comes the biggest election of this century. suddenly we have an incredible improvement in unemployment, something that takes the calendar back four years. you worked in the bls. you know how this works. can these numbers be manipulated? >> no, they really can't. it would be extremely hard to manipulate the numbers. absolutely impossible to manipulate and get away with. bls is comprised of career people who are dedicated to their work. nothing but career people there. a real strong...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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the challenges facing their last election, a challenge from the raid. it does affect how you can behave in the senate to some degree. and we have seen that with both parties. so it seems to be getting worse and harder other than people making it easier. >> let me just make two points. one is let's not forget that 2009 and 2010, the democrats had majorities in both houses of congress. they were vetoproof purity of that stimulus package, obama cared, dodd-frank, the institution of the united states are too big -- are not too big to fail. so they had two years and they had majority for two years and they ran things through with all due respect. we were never consulted about obama cared. we were never consulted about the stimulus. we were never consulted about dodd-frank. we all have to work together between 2009 and 2010. amendment 2010 elections were rejected and if we hadn't had candidates in three swing states, we probably would've been the majority in the united states senate. when i look at all the polarization to work with me for two years. the citiz
the challenges facing their last election, a challenge from the raid. it does affect how you can behave in the senate to some degree. and we have seen that with both parties. so it seems to be getting worse and harder other than people making it easier. >> let me just make two points. one is let's not forget that 2009 and 2010, the democrats had majorities in both houses of congress. they were vetoproof purity of that stimulus package, obama cared, dodd-frank, the institution of the...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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>> here i'm talking about the election. here i think the question really is i don't know how the election is going come out. i make no prediction. i ask myself if romney gets smashed, if he gets smashed, it would -- i happen to think the political problem in the country we have a center left party and we have a far right party. that is a structure problem. the republican party has gone nuts in my view. >> analytical judgment. [laughter] >> they've been simultaneously they have been at war with mas and physics at the same time. [laughter] on the deficit, it was, you know, deficit doesn't matter. and yeah and biology too a guy in missouri too. so the question to me is what happens the morning after the morning after the election if romney loses? the morning after they'll say it wasn't because he wasn't far night enough. i wonder the morning after the morning after. a lot of people say we have gone too far to the right. we need a different republican party. we need a center right republican party. i think the country needs. be
>> here i'm talking about the election. here i think the question really is i don't know how the election is going come out. i make no prediction. i ask myself if romney gets smashed, if he gets smashed, it would -- i happen to think the political problem in the country we have a center left party and we have a far right party. that is a structure problem. the republican party has gone nuts in my view. >> analytical judgment. [laughter] >> they've been simultaneously they have...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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that is, you have a twice-elected, popularly-elected president of the united states, and so those you mentioned in the republican party who dislike him and what he stands for having been unable to beat him at the polls have found another way to get him out of office? cbs news has exclusive information including documents that now sheds new light on the president's service record. "60 minutes" has obtained government documents that indicate mr. bush may have received preferential treatment in the guard after not fulfilling his commitments. ♪ ♪ >> tonight we have new documents and new information on the president's military service and the first-ever interview with the man who says he pulled the strings to get young george w. bush into the texas air national guard. >> you sorry about that now? >> no. >> think the report was correct? >> yes. and i think most people know by now that it was correct. ♪ ♪ >> i want to ask you flat out, do you think president clinton's an honest man? >> yes, i think he's an honest man. >> do you really? even though he lied to jim lehrer's face -- >> w
that is, you have a twice-elected, popularly-elected president of the united states, and so those you mentioned in the republican party who dislike him and what he stands for having been unable to beat him at the polls have found another way to get him out of office? cbs news has exclusive information including documents that now sheds new light on the president's service record. "60 minutes" has obtained government documents that indicate mr. bush may have received preferential...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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i think when i look at the history of this, this issue, it goes back to the election of president obama and the real energy he brought on the campaign trail in 2008, to the question of transparency and the kind of good government i think we all envisioned. from my perspective, from about 2010, that energy at kind of dissipated. a lot of efforts have gone toward a lot of things, and we weren't seeing that sort of dramatic transformation that a lot of us can visualize. we can imagine knowing what the power of data is but it wasn't happening very much. and that caused me to do some work that i will describe your that results in some grades that i will talk about. grading is a cruel art but it sometimes is necessary art how we communicate things. what he did is i looked at the problem of sort of lacking transparency efforts around 2010, and it looked to me like maybe the transparency community have not communicated well enough to the government side. what it was we wanted. a lot of efforts have gone up if it didn't have a direction, didn't have a destination. and so i sat down with some tec
i think when i look at the history of this, this issue, it goes back to the election of president obama and the real energy he brought on the campaign trail in 2008, to the question of transparency and the kind of good government i think we all envisioned. from my perspective, from about 2010, that energy at kind of dissipated. a lot of efforts have gone toward a lot of things, and we weren't seeing that sort of dramatic transformation that a lot of us can visualize. we can imagine knowing what...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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[applause] and it's a shame it's not part of the dialogue going on in the election. we're going to pay a price for this, and just, you know, the note on your blackberry that we talked about this september 23rd, and when the bridges start burning in or -- in four or five months, i was saying this to somebody. if you remember 9/11, in august of 2001, six weeks before 9/11, there was a top secret intelligence briefing given to president george w. bush. and the headline of that top secret briefing was, and we ran it in "the washington post" after it became a big issue, was bin laden determined to strike in u.s. now, think about that. you're the president of the united states, you get a top secret report saying bin laden determined to strike in the u.s. you should do something. well, we know not enough was done can. we know that the government across the board failed to do what was necessary on potential terrorism, and we had 9/11. i tell you the theme song, the big music in this book i've written that i've tried to present is u.s. economy about to falter. and it's a warn
[applause] and it's a shame it's not part of the dialogue going on in the election. we're going to pay a price for this, and just, you know, the note on your blackberry that we talked about this september 23rd, and when the bridges start burning in or -- in four or five months, i was saying this to somebody. if you remember 9/11, in august of 2001, six weeks before 9/11, there was a top secret intelligence briefing given to president george w. bush. and the headline of that top secret briefing...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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he is, by the way, the only person elected three times to govern california. in 1942 he beat an incumbent democrat, olson, despite fdr's popularity nationally and within the state, despite the fact that the state and country were at war. in 1950, his last election, he did one better than beating an ally of fdr, he beat fdr's son, jimmy roosevelt, by more than a million votes. and in 1946's election he achieved the remarkable and by today's standards sort of unimaginable feat of winning not only the republican party nomination for governor, but the democratic nomination as well. [laughter] yeah. give that a moment's thought. [laughter] um, he is the only person ever nominated by both parties to govern california. it was in 1953 that, as i'm sure many of you know, it was dwight eisenhower who tapped warren to become chief justice of the united states. in another hard-to-imagine turn of events, warren accepted that as a recess appointment and served from october of 1953 until march of 1954 without senate confirmation. he left california on a saturday and was swor
he is, by the way, the only person elected three times to govern california. in 1942 he beat an incumbent democrat, olson, despite fdr's popularity nationally and within the state, despite the fact that the state and country were at war. in 1950, his last election, he did one better than beating an ally of fdr, he beat fdr's son, jimmy roosevelt, by more than a million votes. and in 1946's election he achieved the remarkable and by today's standards sort of unimaginable feat of winning not only...
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the election is not red or blue, it's about your green and no one is on it, but neil. and one word not uttered at the debate someone on the cavuto on business gang should have all taxpayers worrying at the bottom of the hour and up next, the d.c. solutions for the record breaking gas more headlines 30 minutes away. and now back to bulls and bears only on fox. >> here is a history breaking number that's breaking our pocket books. gas prices are on track to close at a record high for the year and consumers are getting squeezed. the white house saying tapping our emergency oil reserve is on the table. but some lawmakers urging the president to shelf that idea and tobin, you agree with him, why? >> yes, i turned into tobin, i like that. and first off, the problem is not the oil issue, the problem is refinery problems, not only disasters at refineries, the switchover that happens between september and october and it's not done yet. so our problem with gasoline prices, is gasoline refining, nothing to do with oil, number one. and we need that for when times get rough and lis
the election is not red or blue, it's about your green and no one is on it, but neil. and one word not uttered at the debate someone on the cavuto on business gang should have all taxpayers worrying at the bottom of the hour and up next, the d.c. solutions for the record breaking gas more headlines 30 minutes away. and now back to bulls and bears only on fox. >> here is a history breaking number that's breaking our pocket books. gas prices are on track to close at a record high for the...
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Oct 7, 2012
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they were elected the same year. newspaper accounts refer to them as the boxer plan, which if you know their politics and their style, they are not really twins peered barbara boxer has a very aggressive style. if you know the research commented. that is out there in the feminine style, she is a classic example of the feminine style, boxer. feinstein's style is quite different. she is not a lawyer by training, did very lawyerly style. she outlines the arguments, goes to be sure to make him presents the evidence. she caused closed authorities and then she moves on. it is assertive. it's strong, but it's not overly aggressive. so she avoids a lot of the problem that women fight frequently. she manages the finance, almost all of the double binds the jamieson talks about. what hurt her with the fact that i think the chapter begins by talking about her in the moderate. the more accurate term to she is an independent. some of her political decisions are positions that liberal democrats simply do not like. her position on c
they were elected the same year. newspaper accounts refer to them as the boxer plan, which if you know their politics and their style, they are not really twins peered barbara boxer has a very aggressive style. if you know the research commented. that is out there in the feminine style, she is a classic example of the feminine style, boxer. feinstein's style is quite different. she is not a lawyer by training, did very lawyerly style. she outlines the arguments, goes to be sure to make him...